KARI LAKE VS HOBBS - AZ GOV RACE ANALYSIS
Analytics 805 President Thomas Cole told The Arizona Sun Times, “We took the Arizona election numbers and made this chart, to visually show the improbability of Kari Lake losing, while the entire state of Arizona voted Republican for the State Senate and U.S. House races. We saw a 14% Republican lead in the State Senate races. So it makes no sense to think those Republicans suddenly flipped to Democrat Katie Hobbs for governor by a 14 percent margin.”
“We took the Arizona election numbers to create this graph, which visually shows the improbability of Kari Lake losing...
-Thomas Cole Analytics805
Phoenix and Tucson Voters barely turnout for AZ House Districts in 2022
It's curious the big cities, District #3 Phoenix and #7 Tucson did not have a high propensity of votes. Urban areas are usually blue with high turnout. Here the question is:
With low votes turnout for the House race in these urban areas, how did Hobbs get such high numbers?
Notice in CA the drop off in votes from Governor race to State Assembly race was only about 7% which is normal and expected.
But in AZ we had a drop of over 14% - Indicating AZ (R) voters somehow wanted a (D) governor, and a (R) State Senate and House. Another improbability.